Glossary · Term

prospect theory

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Definition

Plain language

Kahneman and Tversky's finding that the same change matters more when you're starting from little than from a lot — the gap between ten and twenty dollars feels bigger than between a hundred-ten and a hundred-twenty.

As stated in the literature

A foundational decision-science framework whose diminishing-sensitivity principle describes a concave value curve — steep at low magnitudes, flat at high ones; rediscovered as a confirmed regularity by AutoCog's Diminishing Returns WADD model.

Why it matters: It explains why people respond to changes relative to where they start rather than in absolute terms, a pattern that shows up across real-world decisions about money and risk.

For example, going from owning nothing to owning ten dollars feels like a big jump, while going from a hundred-ten to a hundred-twenty dollars barely registers, even though both add ten dollars.

Mentioned in 1 episode

  1. 176
    An AI Designed Its Own Psychology Studies, Then Confirmed What It Found

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