Glossary · Term

progressive confidence

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Definition

When an AI's certainty actually builds up gradually as it works through the problem.

The healthy counterpart to premature confidence: mid-chain probes show monotonically rising confidence in the final answer across the trajectory, indicating reasoning that genuinely narrows the model's hypothesis space.

Mentioned in 1 episode

  1. 081
    When Reasoning Models Decide Before They Think: Detecting and Fixing Premature Confidence