Glossary · Term

overfitting

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Definition

Plain language

When a model learns its practice examples too closely and then does worse on anything new.

As stated in the literature

The failure mode where a model fits idiosyncrasies of the training or selection set rather than the underlying signal, degrading held-out performance; countered with regularization, held-out validation, and early stopping.

Also called: overfit, overfits

Why it matters: It matters because a model that clings to its training data looks great in testing yet fails on the new cases you actually care about.

For example, a model that memorizes every practice question aces the practice test but stumbles on the slightly different real exam.

Heard on the show

“And the SFT regression specifically might be partly a small-data overfitting artifact.”
Episode 011 — When RL Actually Teaches Agents Something New, And When It Doesn't

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