Glossary · Term

epistemic uncertainty

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Definition

Plain language

Not knowing something that could be looked up or measured.

As stated in the literature

Reducible uncertainty arising from missing information or model ignorance; shrinks with additional evidence, tools, or training data.

Why it matters: Spotting this kind of uncertainty tells a system when to search, ask, or use a tool instead of guessing, since the answer already exists somewhere.

For example, not knowing the population of a city is epistemic uncertainty, because a quick lookup resolves it completely.

Heard on the show

“The first is epistemic uncertainty.”
Episode 251 — When a Fake Dashboard Makes an AI Agent Just as Confident

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