Theme · 31 episode(s)

Scaling Laws

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Definition

Scaling laws are empirical regularities in how loss falls as a function of parameters, data, and compute — the equations that justify spending another order of magnitude on training. They’ve been a remarkably reliable planning tool and a remarkably awkward one when they break.

Episodes covering this

  1. 193
    Freeze Most of the Network: Where RL Improvement Actually Lives in a Transformer
    Is One Layer Enough? Training A Single Transformer Layer Can Match Full-Parameter RL Training
    Zhang, Hu, Glentis et al. · University of Minnesota·22 min·Jul 02, 2026
  2. 187
    An 8-Billion Agent That Beats Models 80 Times Its Size By Looking Things Up
    An AI agent for treatment reasoning over a biomedical tool universe
    Gao, Noori, Zhu et al. · Department of Biomedical Informatics·19 min·Jun 30, 2026
  3. 180
    The Bug Where Smart Assistants Read a Fact and Still Forget It
    Supersede: Diagnosing and Training the Memory-Update Gap in LLM Agents
    Patel · Vrin·24 min·Jun 29, 2026
  4. 167
    How Teaching an AI to Predict, Not Act, Made It a Better Actor
    Qwen-AgentWorld: Language World Models for General Agents
    Team, Zuo, Xiao et al. · ·27 min·Jun 24, 2026
  5. 166
    A Router That Beats the Frontier Models It Calls
    Sakana Fugu Technical Report
    Tang, Cetin, Xu et al. · Sakana AI·26 min·Jun 23, 2026
  6. 163
    Why Training Only on Perfect Solutions Cripples a Model's Reasoning
    Provable Benefits of RLVR over SFT for Reasoning Models: Learning to Backtrack Efficiently
    Wei, Kim · Princeton University·22 min·Jun 23, 2026
  7. 159
    Can a Coding Agent Run Its Own Robot Experiments Overnight, With No Human Resetting the Scene?
    ENPIRE: Agentic Robot Policy Self-Improvement in the Real World
    Xiao, Xie, Zhang et al. · NVIDIA·23 min·Jun 19, 2026
  8. 147
    Agents Fail at the Body, Not the Brain: A Self-Rewriting Scaffold That Lifts a 9B Model 44 Points
    HarnessX: A Composable, Adaptive, and Evolvable Agent Harness Foundry
    Chen, Lu, Zhao et al. · ·30 min·Jun 15, 2026
  9. 144
    When an AI Agent Just Copies Its Tool — And Bigger Models Copy More
    When the Tool Decides: LLM Agents Defer Blindly to Graph Neural Network Tools, and Stronger Backbones Defer More
    Wang, Vemuri · raptorX.ai·15 min·Jun 15, 2026
  10. 118
    Why the Best-Aligned AI Models Are the Easiest to Trick Into Producing Harm
    Safety Paradox: How Enhanced Safety Awareness Leaves LLMs Vulnerable to Posterior Attack
    Hoang, Le, Xu et al. · Singapore University of Technology and Design·23 min·Jun 05, 2026
  11. 116
    Why Streaming Half a Reasoning Chain Beats Sending the Whole Thing
    Streaming Communication in Multi-Agent Reasoning
    Yang, Xu, Wang et al. · HKUST (GZ)·26 min·Jun 04, 2026
  12. 108
    The Reasoning Cliff: Why Thinking Longer Makes Models Worse at Exact Step-by-Step Tasks
    The Deterministic Horizon: When Extended Reasoning Fails and Tool Delegation Becomes Necessary
    Guo, Wu, Yiu · The University of Hong Kong·32 min·Jun 03, 2026
  13. 099
    How an Open-Book Trick Teaches a Model to Catch Its Own Mistakes
    Self-Trained Verification for Training- and Test-Time Self-Improvement
    Wu, Raghunathan · Carnegie Mellon University·21 min·May 29, 2026
  14. 098
    Finding Millions of Readable Concepts Inside a Real, Deployed AI Model
    Scaling Monosemanticity: Extracting Interpretable Features from Claude 3 Sonnet
    Templeton, Conerly, Marcus et al. · Anthropic·28 min·May 29, 2026
  15. 097
    Same Tokens, Same Cost, Wildly Different Results: What Actually Scales in AI Agents
    Scaling Laws for Agent Harnesses via Effective Feedback Compute
    Zhang, Wang, Xu et al. · Harbin Institute of Technology·25 min·May 29, 2026
  16. 085
    Why Long-Context Models Might Need Compute, Not Capacity, Before Eviction
    Language Models Need Sleep
    Lee, McLeish, Goldstein et al. · Carnegie Mellon University·24 min·May 26, 2026
  17. 081
    When Reasoning Models Decide Before They Think: Detecting and Fixing Premature Confidence
    Understanding and Mitigating Premature Confidence for Better LLM Reasoning
    Gai, Zeng, Baek et al. · Carnegie Mellon University·25 min·May 26, 2026
  18. 080
    How a Two-Agent Trick Unlocked Large-Scale Training for Computer-Use Agents
    CUA-Gym: Scaling Verifiable Training Environments and Tasks for Computer-Use Agents
    Wang, Lu, Wang et al. · The University of Hong Kong·32 min·May 26, 2026
  19. 074
    How a Fifteen-Hundred-Dollar Training Run Matched Llama and Gemma on Reasoning
    HRM-Text: Efficient Pretraining Beyond Scaling
    Wang, Liu, Wang et al. · Sapient Intelligence·21 min·May 24, 2026
  20. 070
    When Models Know the Answer But Say the Wrong Thing Anyway
    Hallucination as Commitment Failure: Larger LLMs Misfire Despite Knowing the Answer
    Yeom, Sok, Kim et al. · Graduate School of Data Science·22 min·May 22, 2026
  21. 069
    When Smarter Models Forecast Worse: The Hidden Failure Mode in LLM Predictions
    Is Capability a Liability? More Capable Language Models Make Worse Forecasts When It Matters Most
    Merrill, Lee, Karger · Forecasting Research Institute / UC Berkeley·30 min·May 22, 2026
  22. 061
    When Helpful Agents Go Sideways: A 404 Error, Campus Security, and Why Alignment Misses This
    Agent Meltdowns: The Road to Hell Is Paved with Helpful Agents
    Jha, Triedman, Bhattacharya et al. · Cornell University·27 min·May 20, 2026
  23. 060
    When Splitting One Model Across Three Agents Doubles Its Accuracy
    NeuroMAS: Multi-Agent Systems as Neural Networks with Joint Reinforcement Learning
    Lu, Fang, Zhong et al. · University of Georgia·26 min·May 20, 2026
  24. 053
    An AI Agent Swapped In Focal Loss And Beat A Human-Tuned Training Script
    Agentic Discovery of Neural Architectures: AIRA-Compose and AIRA-Design
    Pepe, Lin, Magka et al. · FAIR at Meta·32 min·May 18, 2026
  25. 048
    How a 30B Open Model Reached Olympiad Gold With the Right Recipe
    Achieving Gold-Medal-Level Olympiad Reasoning via Simple and Unified Scaling
    Li, Zhan, Zhang et al. · Shanghai AI Laboratory / The Chinese University of Hong Kong·31 min·May 16, 2026
  26. 044
    How One Sentence and a Forged History Flip the Most Aligned Models
    History Anchors: How Prior Behavior Steers LLM Decisions Toward Unsafe Actions
    Salgado · Independent Researcher·23 min·May 15, 2026
  27. 041
    When the Iteration Teaches the Model to Skip the Iteration
    Solve the Loop: Attractor Models for Language and Reasoning
    Fein-Ashley, Rashidinejad · University of Southern California·30 min·May 13, 2026
  28. 040
    Two Frozen Models Learn to Whisper: Coupling Through Hidden States
    The Bicameral Model: Bidirectional Hidden-State Coupling Between Parallel Language Models
    Flamant, Ghai, Shimizu · AWS Agentic AI·29 min·May 13, 2026
  29. 033
    Echo: The Paper Arguing You Never Needed a KV Cache for Retrieval
    Echo: KV-Cache-Free Associative Recall with Spectral Koopman Operators
    Sridhar, Johansen · California·24 min·May 11, 2026
  30. 032
    A Sticky-Note for Every Layer: Letting Transformers Remember What They Were Just Thinking
    State Stream Transformer (SST) V2: Parallel Training of Nonlinear Recurrence for Latent Space Reasoning
    Aviss · Fifth Dimension·23 min·May 09, 2026
  31. 023
    Why a Small Agent Confidently Overwrites Memories It Doesn't Understand
    What Happens Inside Agent Memory? Circuit Analysis from Emergence to Diagnosis
    Mao, Zhao, Penn et al. · City University of Hong Kong·23 min·May 07, 2026

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